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Ghana’s economy to grow by 13.4% - World Bank

By Kofi AHOVI

The World Bank has projected that Ghana’s economy would grow by 13.4% in 2011 before dropping to 10% in 2012 making it the fastest growing economy in Sub-Saharan Africa.

This figure is significantly higher than the 12.3% projected by government of Ghana itself in its 2011 budget statement.

Launching the bank's global economic prospects report via a video-conference, Andrew Burns, Manager of Global Macroeconomics in the World Bank's Prospects Group, said Ghana was still in position to register strong economic growth without the oil sector, particularly from construction services as large infrastructure projects were being undertaken.

He said Ghana's economy benefited from a strong rebound of both volumes and prices of gold and cocoa, increase in tourism, and higher household and government spending last year, with economic growth rate estimated at 6.6% in 2010.

However, Burns cautioned that if the inflows from the oil sector in Ghana were not managed prudently, they could distort the incentive structure for agricultural exports.

He said developing countries had recovered so fast from the global economic downturn and were now pulling along the high income countries, which was unusual.

The report noted that Africa appeared to have sustained growth and transformation in 2010 and the private sector was increasingly attracting investment into their economies, adding "Africa appears to be poised for sustained growth due to private capital flows."

The World Bank said most developing countries had in addition, recovered from the world food crisis and had projected a steady global growth for developing countries.

"The world economy is moving from a post-crisis bounce-back phase of the recovery to a slower but solid growth in 2011 and next year with developing countries contributing almost half of the global growth," it said.

It estimated that global GDP, which had expanded by 3.9% in 2010, would slow to 3.3% in 2011, before climbing back to 3.6% in 2012.

The bank revealed that developing countries were expected to grow by about 7% in 2010, 6% in 2011, and 6.1% in 2012.

It said the growth rate in developing countries would continue to outstrip growth in high-income countries which were projected to grow at 2.8% in 2010, 2.4% in 2011 and 2.7% in 2012.

The bank said strong developing-country domestic demand growth was leading the world economy, yet persistent financial problems in some high-income countries were still a threat to economic growth and required urgent policy actions.

Low income countries were projected to be strengthened more with a growth rate of 6.5% in both 2011 and 2012, since their countries saw trade gains in 2010, and overall, their GDP rose by 5.3% in 2010.

According to Burns, the sharp rise in global food prices was having a mixed impact.

He said in many economies, dollar depreciation, improved local conditions, and rising prices for goods and services indicated that the real price of food had not risen as much as the dollar price of internationally traded food commodities.

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