FX Strategy for Corporate Boards: The Best Time to Hedge Is Rarely When Everyone Is Talking About Currency
A finance director in Accra still remembers a loss that should never have happened. Let's say the business earned in cedis but imported in dollars, the setup of most businesses in Ghana that borrow or trade in hard currency. Essentially, his team saw the risk, discussed it, and waited for a better rate. When the cedi moved, the margins that looked protected on paper simply disappeared. It was the worst kind of loss: not the one you fail to see, but the one you see coming and still invite to the meeting. That story is more common than most finance teams admit. Every business runs an exchange-rate assumption through its budget, and every dollar payment settles at the rate on the day. The gap between the two decides whether the cedi quietly supports the year or quietly erodes it and closing that gap is precisely what treasury exists to do. The job is not to predict the market, but to act while doing so is still cheap, before volatility makes certainty expensive. The executive blind s...