Skip to main content

Cedi weakens further as second quarter FX demand pressures mount

 Cedi, dollarThe Ghana cedi continued its downward trend against major trading currencies over the past two weeks, as rising demand for foreign exchange and growing corporate repatriation needs intensified pressure on the local currency.

According to the latest market update, the cedi weakened across both the interbank and retail foreign exchange markets, with analysts attributing the depreciation to heightened demand for US dollars amid moderate foreign exchange supply conditions.

In the interbank market, the cedi traded at GHS 11.85 to the US dollar, down from GHS 11.63 recorded in the previous review period.

Similarly, the local currency depreciated against the British pound and the euro, with exchange rates rising to GHS 15.85/GBP and GHS 13.66/EUR from GHS 15.62 and GHS 13.49 respectively.

The weakness was also reflected in the retail market, where the cedi lost 0.81 percent against the dollar, 1.83 percent against the pound, and 1.40 percent against the euro, closing at mid-rates of GHS 12.30/USD, GHS 16.35/GBP and GHS 14.30/EUR.

On a month-on-month basis, the cedi depreciated by an average of 4.18 percent between April and May 2026, compared to the 3.23 percent decline recorded at the end of April.

This occurred despite approximately $1.1 billion in foreign exchange interventions by the Bank of Ghana during May.

Analysts noted that market sentiment remained largely bearish as demand for foreign currency continued to outpace supply.

The pressure on the cedi has also been linked to growing global demand for the US dollar, with central banks reportedly liquidating non-dollar assets to meet increasing import costs fueled by persistently high refined crude oil prices.

Looking ahead, market observers expect speculation in the foreign exchange market to remain relatively contained, supported by an announced $1.2 billion monthly foreign exchange support programme for June.

However, analysts caution that the cedi could face additional pressure in the coming weeks as multinational companies begin repatriating profits and dividends during the second-quarter repatriation period.

Corporate demand typically peaks during the Q2 repatriation window, driven by multinational dividend and profit outflows,” the report noted.

As a result, the dollar-cedi exchange rate is expected to weaken further beyond the current interbank level of GHS 11.85 unless foreign exchange inflows strengthen significantly.

Meanwhile, in South Africa, the rand also came under pressure during the review period, weakening by 1.15 percent to close at ZAR 16.28 per US dollar.

Analysts attributed the decline to elevated oil prices and renewed geopolitical tensions that have dampened investor risk appetite and increased concerns over import costs.

The outlook for the rand remains cautious, with elevated crude oil prices and uncertain global market conditions expected to keep the currency under pressure in the near term.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Fitch Solutions retains 2025 growth rate projection at 4.2%

 Fitch Solutions has reaffirmed its projection that Ghana’s economy will expand by 4.2% in 2025. This estimate slightly exceeds the International Monetary Fund’s forecast of 4% and the World Bank’s projection of 3.9%. The UK-based research firm attributes its outlook to historically high gold prices, which are expected to cushion the Ghanaian economy against a global slowdown triggered by rising tariffs. Higher gold prices are anticipated to strengthen government revenue, enhance foreign exchange earnings, and help sustain currency stability. The report also highlights that Ghana is relatively less vulnerable to increasing trade restrictions from the United States, given that its primary exports—gold and crude oil—are not directly affected by the tariffs introduced by President Trump’s administration. Moreover, the US constitutes only about 4% to 5% of Ghana’s total exports. In contrast, Ghana’s trade relations are more heavily oriented toward China and European countries, particul...

BoG injects $20m into FX market to support 11 BDCs

  The Bank of Ghana (BoG) has injected $20 million into the foreign exchange market in the latest round of its forward FX auction targeted at Bulk Oil Distribution Companies (BDCs). The intervention, which benefited eleven BDCs, is part of the central bank’s broader strategy to stabilise the cedi and ensure price stability in the petroleum downstream sector. Held on Tuesday, April 29, the auction was priced at a locked exchange rate of GHS 14.28 to the US dollar, with bid offers ranging from GHS 13.85 to GHS 15.55. This move reflects the BoG’s continued effort to deepen forex liquidity and safeguard the domestic fuel supply chain against volatility in global energy markets. By directly supplying FX to BDCs, the central bank seeks to ease pressure on the interbank market, guarantee the uninterrupted flow of petroleum products, and mitigate the pass-through effects of exchange rate fluctuations on fuel prices. The $20 million disbursement forms part of a $120 million programme for th...

Kenpong Travel & Tours Champions Breast Cancer Awareness During Customer Week

  As part of activities to mark Customer Week, Kenpong Travel & Tours, a leading travel agency in Ghana, is joining the global fight against breast cancer. October is Breast Cancer Awareness Month, and the company is passionate about spreading hope and support to those affected. At Kenpong Travel & Tours, we believe that travel and exploration can be therapeutic and empowering. That's why we're committed to supporting our customers and the broader community in the fight against breast cancer. We're proud to stand in solidarity with breast cancer warriors and survivors. At Kenpong Travel & Tours, we believe that everyone deserves a chance to explore the world and create unforgettable memories. Let's prioritize health, support one another, and fight against breast cancer," said Kennedy Agyapong, CEO of Kenpong Travel & Tours. Our efforts are focused on raising awareness, promoting early detection, and supporting those affected by breast cancer. We urg...